Signal, No Noise

August 30, 2010

N. Korea Vows to Use Nuclear Weapons If Attacked

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AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
Published: 28 Aug 2010 17:02

HAVANA – North Korea’s ambassador to Cuba said Aug. 28 that, if attacked, his country would respond with nuclear weapons and engage in a “sacred war,” Cuban state media reported.

Kwon Sung Chol, quoted by the Prensa Latina government agency, spoke at an event late Aug. 27 marking 50 years of diplomatic relations between Cuba and North Korea.

If North Korea is attacked by U.S. and South Korean forces, “we will respond with a sacred war based on the strength of our nuclear deterrent forces,” Kwon said.

“Our government will make an effort towards the denuclearization of the peninsula and the establishment of a system of lasting peace based on the principle of the reunification of both Koreas,” Kwon said, according to Prensa Latina.

North Korea on July 24 threatened a “powerful nuclear deterrence” in response to joint U.S.-South Korean naval exercises then taking place.

North Korea was prepared for a “retaliatory sacred war,” North Korea’s National Defense Commission (NDC) said in a statement carried then by the official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA).

June 13, 2010

Filed under: Asia,China,East Asia,Military,North Korea — mungurk @ 00:36

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North Korean border guard ‘shoots three Chinese dead’

Page last updated at 10:33 GMT, Tuesday, 8 June 2010 11:33 UK

China-North Korea bridge The four were allegedly shot close to the countries’ borderChina says a North Korean border guard shot and killed three people near the countries’ border last week.

A fourth person was reportedly injured in the incident near the north-eastern border town of Dandong.

China has made a formal complaint to North Korea, a spokesman for the Chinese foreign ministry said.

The two countries are considered to be close allies and Beijing rarely makes any public criticism of its isolated neighbour.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang told a regular news conference in Beijing that the four residents of Dandong, in Liaoning province, had been shot “on suspicion of crossing the border for trade activities”.

“China attaches great importance to that and has immediately raised a solemn representation with the DPRK,” he said, using North Korea’s full name (Democratic People’s Republic of Korea).

Close allyMr Qin said the case was being investigated, but gave no further details. Pyongyang has not commented on the accusations.

Illegal traders regularly cross the border between North Korea and China, taking black market goods into the impoverished country.

China is North Korea’s main trading partner and the country perceived to have the most influence on the state.

MapTensions on the Korean peninsula have been high since the sinking of a South Korean warship in March with the loss of 46 lives.

An international investigation blamed North Korea for the sinking, but China has resisted pressure to condemn its ally. Instead, it has urged both the Koreas to show restraint.

Last month, the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-il, was reported to have visited China to seek economic and political support.

China is crucial to North Korea’s fight for economic survival, providing Pyongyang with food, fuel and much-needed investment.

Beijing is also a participant in the six-party talks on North Korea’s nuclear programme. The talks have been going on since 2003 without much progress.

In 2009, North Korea detained two US journalists on the border with China, accusing them of entering North Korea illegally.

Laura Ling and Euna Lee, who said they were detained on the Chinese side, were sentenced to 12 years’ hard labour but were freed in August after four months in captivity, as part of a diplomatic mission spearheaded by former US President Bill Clinton.

A US man, Robert Park, was also arrested in December last year, after walking into North Korea across a frozen river. He was released in February.

June 12, 2010

US presses China to rein in N.Korea

Filed under: Asia,China,East Asia,Military,North Korea,South Korea,WMD — mungurk @ 23:07

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US presses China to rein in N.Korea

By Shaun Tandon (AFP) – 2 days ago

WASHINGTON — The United States is pressing China to rein in North Korea, voicing “dismay” that the Asian power has not put more pressure on its ally as tensions build over the sinking of a South Korean warship.

China has offered condolences over the March sinking of the Cheonan but has not placed blame on North Korea, which has warned of “serious” consequences if the issue is brought before the United Nations Security Council.

Admiral Mike Mullen, the top US uniformed military officer, said late Wednesday that China needed to take a greater role after the purported torpedo attack, which claimed 46 lives in one of the deadliest incidents since the Korean War.

“I’ve been encouraged by public statements made recently by Chinese leadership as to the seriousness of this incident and the need for accountability and yet dismayed by a fairly tepid response to calls by the international community for support,” Mullen said.

Mullen, speaking at a dinner of the Asia Society, indicated that the United States would soon go ahead with military exercises with South Korea which were set for early June but delayed to give a chance for diplomacy with North Korea.

“We in the United States military stand firmly by our allies in the Republic of Korea and will move forward, in keeping with international agreements, to demonstrate that solidarity in coming weeks,” Mullen said.

“I think it’s of no surprise to anyone that we are planning maritime exercises to sharpen skills and strengthen collective defenses.”

South Korea has asked the Security Council to respond to the ship’s sinking and said Wednesday that investigators would brief the body’s 15 members on the probe at the request of council president Mexico.

Seoul’s Vice Foreign Minister Chun Yung-Woo returned Wednesday from a trip to lobby China but said that differences remained.

“We agreed to keep working toward reaching acceptable solutions, based on our strategic cooperative partnership,” Chun said.

North Korea’s UN representative wrote a letter to the council urging it not to be swayed by US “lies” as it was before the 2003 invasion of Iraq, according to state media.

The letter warned that if the warship probe was put on the council’s agenda, “no one would dare imagine how serious its consequences would be with regard to the peace and security on the Korean peninsula.”

Experts have speculated widely on North Korea’s motivations for the sinking, with some believing that the communist state is trying to show its mettle as part of the succession to leader Kim Jong-Il.

China’s relations are not always warm with North Korea, with Beijing saying Tuesday it protested after border guards from its neighbor shot dead three Chinese citizens.

But analysts believe that China’s main goal is stability as it fears the prospect of North Korean refugees flooding over the border or a unified Korea with US troops right on its border.

President Barack Obama’s administration has sought broader cooperation with China. But relations between the two militaries have remained uneasy, with Beijing declining Defense Secretary Robert Gates’s requests to visit.

Gates had a tense exchange on Saturday with a Chinese general at a security conference in Singapore.

Major General Zhu Chenghu asked Gates to explain what he called a contradiction between the US condemnation of North Korea and a more cautious US reaction to a deadly raid by Israel against a Gaza-bound aid ship.

“The Chinese military is the most provincial, and I would say the most xenophobic, element of the Chinese elite,” Jeffrey Bader, Obama’s top aide on Asia, told a forum this week.

China in January cut off military relations after the United States in January unveiled a 6.4-billion-dollar arms package to Taiwan, which Beijing claims as part of Chinese territory.

Copyright © 2010 AFP. All rights reserved.

June 4, 2010

War Possible Any Moment, Says North Korea

Filed under: Asia,East Asia,Military,North Korea,South Korea — mungurk @ 10:24

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N.Korea: War possible any moment

  • Published: 3/06/2010 at 11:52 PM
  • Online news: Breakingnews

A North Korean soldier keeps watch over the South side at the truce village of Panmunjom in the Demilitarised Zone separating the two Koreas on June 2. A North Korean diplomat said Thursday that tensions on the Korean peninsula were running so high over the sinking of a South Korean warship that “war may break out at any moment.”

In a speech to the international Conference on Disarmament, Ri Jang-Gon, deputy permanent representative for North Korea at the United Nations in Geneva, blamed the “grave situation” on South Korea and the United States.

“The present situation of the Korean peninsula is so grave that a war may break out at any moment,” he said.

International investigators on May 20 announced their findings that a North Korean submarine had fired a heavy torpedo to sink the warship, in what has been described as the most serious act of aggression from the North since the Korean war 60 years ago.

Forty-six South Korean crew died when the warship sank near the disputed Yellow Sea border with the North in March in mysterious circumstances after a reported explosion.

South Korea has announced a series of reprisals including cutting off trade with its communist neighbour.

The North has denied involvement, and responded to the South’s reprisals with threats of war.

Ri reiterated that North Korea had nothing to do with the sinking.

He claimed that North Koreans “were making their utmost efforts to attain the goal of a powerful and prosperous country by the year 2012″ and needed a “peaceful environment” to do so.

“A peace treaty is the only successful and reasonable way for the denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula,” he added.

The two countries have never reached a peace agreement since the 1950-53 war, relying on a tenuous Cold War era armistice.

However, he also warned that the North Korean people were “ready to promptly react to… various forms of tough measures including an all out war.”

US Defense Secretary Robert Gates said on his way to an Asian security conference in Singapore that the United States and South Korea may hold additional military exercises in response to the alleged torpedoing of the ship.

Gates said there were no plans to deploy a US aircraft carrier as part of the exercises.

He was due to hold talks on the incident with his South Korean and Japanese counterparts.

In Geneva, the North Korean diplomat accused Seoul of trying to ignite a campaign against Pyongyang with an “anti-DPRK” policy intent on destroying exchanges and steps to reconciliation.

“The results of investigation made by South Korean regime is sheer fabrication based on assumptions guesses and supposition,” said Ri.

South Korea’s delegate retorted that the incident was a grave violation of the armistice agreement,” adding that the evidence of an attack was “undeniable”.

He said the statement in the UN’s permanent arms control forum appeared to have been made “for propaganda purposes.”

June 3, 2010

US considers sending warship to Korean Peninsula

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US considering sending aircraft carrier to Korean Peninsula

Thursday, June 3, 2010, 8:25 [IST]

Washington, June 3 (ANI): With tensions escalating on the Korean Peninsula, the U.S. is weighing whether to deploy the massive aircraft carrier USS George Washington to the Yellow Sea, where North Korea allegedly sank a South Korean warship.

Buzz up!
The New York Times quoted American defense officials, as saying that such a deployment would be a show of force by Washington, which has vowed to protect South Korea and blunt North Korea’s aggressive designs.

An international investigation last month blamed North Korea for torpedoing the Cheonan warship in March, killing 46 South Korean sailors.

U.S. officials, who spoke anonymously, said that a final decision on deployment of the nuclear-powered carrier was likely by the end of the week.

If the deployment occurs, the USS George Washington would head to the Yellow Sea by Tuesday for naval exercises with the South Koreans, two senior Pentagon officials told Fox News.

The deployment of the aircraft carrier would be seen as a particularly aggressive move by the United States because of its sheer size.

According to a Navy website, the carrier is 244 feet high from keel to mast and can accommodate some 6,250 crew members.

Built in the 1980s, the carrier uses two nuclear reactors that would allow it to steam almost 18 years before needing to refuel. (ANI)

May 23, 2010

Through UN, South Korea Seeking Damages Against North Korea in Cheonan Sinking

Filed under: Asia,China,East Asia,North Korea,South Korea — mungurk @ 22:13

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South Korea to seek U.N. penalties for North Korea in Cheonan sinking

Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, May 24, 2010

BEIJING — South Korea said Sunday that it will ask the U.N. Security Council to punish North Korea for its deadly attack on a South Korean warship, a move that could ratchet up pressure on the isolated Stalinist regime and add a new flash point in U.S. relations with China.

South Korean President Lee Myung-bak will make the request in an address to his nation Monday during which he will detail a package of measures in response to the March 26 torpedoing of the 1,200-ton Cheonan and the killing of 46 sailors, said his spokesman Lee Dong-kwan.

A senior U.S. official, traveling with Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton in China, said the United States will back “all the steps the South Koreans are going to announce tomorrow.” In an indication of the seriousness with which the Obama administration views the unfolding drama between the North and the South, home to nearly 29,000 U.S. troops, he added: “We have not faced something like this in decades.”

Among other measures that could be pushed by Lee, analysts said, are cuts in South Korean trade with the North, returning North Korea to the U.S. State Department’s list of states that sponsor terrorism, and tighter U.N. sanctions on Pyongyang. Lee has apparently ruled out military action because he does not want to trigger an all-out war.

The official said that, based on talks over the past two days, Chinese officials have not accepted the results of a South Korean investigation — backed by experts from the United States, Australia, Britain and Sweden — that implicated North Korea in the attack. As such, it is unclear whether Beijing will support Lee’s call in the Security Council.

China’s reluctance to agree with the report underscores the challenges the United States faces as it seeks to forge closer ties to Beijing. The U.S. official also noted Sunday that China and the United States still do not see eye to eye on the details of planned economic sanctions on Iran for its failure to stop its nuclear enrichment program. Of specific concern, he said, are disagreements between Beijing and Washington about how investments in Iran’s oil and gas sector will be treated. China has committed to investing more than $80 billion in Iran’s energy sector; tightened sanctions against Tehran could threaten those investments.

U.S. officials said the Obama administration considers the situation in Northeast Asia and Iran so pressing that on Sunday night in Beijing, Clinton dispensed with the niceties of protocol and got down to a substantive discussion in the middle of a private banquet to welcome the biggest delegation of U.S. officials to Beijing to date. The officials — a band of 200 led by Clinton and Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner and specializing in fields such as health, energy and the environment, counterterrorism, nuclear proliferation, and human rights — are in Beijing for the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue.

Reverberations in Tokyo

Officials and analysts said that the attack on the Cheonan seems to be redefining the security equation in Northeast Asia, bolstering the United States, damaging China and concentrating the minds of Japanese officials.

The attack has provided political cover for Japan’s government — only the second opposition party to take power in nearly 50 years — to end an eight-month-long feud with the United States and accept a plan to relocate a U.S. Marine base within Okinawa. On Sunday, Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama announced that his country would abide by a 14-year-old agreement with the United States to move the Futenma air base in Okinawa to a less populated part of the island. U.S. officials responded cautiously, however, because important details have yet to be ironed out.

Hatoyama’s government had campaigned on a platform that rejected the Futenma deal and advocated a more Asia-centric view of Japan’s place in the world. But the Cheonan incident reminded them “that this is still a very dangerous neighborhood and that the U.S.-Japan alliance and the basing arrangements that are part of that are critical to Japan’s security,” the senior U.S. official said.

Tough options for China

The attack and its aftermath also threaten China’s place in the region and could force it to make an unwanted choice between South Korea and North Korea — two countries that it has handled deftly since normalizing relations with Seoul in 1992. South Korea wants China, which is a permanent member of the Security Council, to back Seoul’s call to take the Cheonan issue to the council. So does the United States, the U.S. official said.

But that could risk hurting Pyongyang, and China appears committed to maintaining the North Korean regime above all.

“For China,” the U.S. official said, “they are in uncharted waters.”

China reacted slowly to the Cheonan’s sinking, waiting almost a month before offering South Korea condolences. Then it feted North Korean leader Kim Jong Il in early May, apparently offering him another large package of aid, Asian diplomats said. China’s attitude has enraged South Korean officials.

Michael Green, a national security official during George W. Bush’s administration, said the Cheonan crisis highlights just how differently China views its security needs than the rest of the players in Northeast Asia. For years, as China worked with the United States, Russia, South Korea and Japan to try to persuade North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons programs, these differences were obscured. But the Cheonan’s sinking has changed that.

While the incident is pushing officials in South Korea, Japan and the United States to contain North Korea and even prepare for a future without a North Korean state, Green said, China appears intent on redoubling its efforts to ensure North Korea’s stability.

“The Chinese are very negative about the prospect of a democratic, united Korea on their border,” Green said. “They want to keep North Korea alive.”

“This incident is going to drive the United States, South Korea and Japan closer together,” he said. “China won’t be happy.”

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao will travel to South Korea this week for a three-nation summit, which will also include Japan. The attack — and China’s reaction — is expected to dominate those talks.

March 29, 2010

North Koreans Citizens Using Cellphones to Bare Secrets

Filed under: Asia,Cyberspace,East Asia,North Korea — mungurk @ 12:26

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North Koreans Use Cellphones to Bare Secrets

Jean Chung for The New York Times

Mun Seong-hwi, a North Korean defector, speaking to someone in North Korea to gather information at his office in Seoul.

By CHOE SANG-HUN
Published: March 28, 2010

SEOUL, South Korea — North Korea, one of the world’s most impenetrable nations, is facing a new threat: networks of its own citizens feeding information about life there to South Korea and its Western allies.

The networks are the creation of a handful of North Korean defectors and South Korean human rights activists using cellphones to pierce North Korea’s near-total news blackout. To build the networks, recruiters slip into China to woo the few North Koreans allowed to travel there, provide cellphones to smuggle across the border, then post informers’ phoned and texted reports on Web sites.

The work is risky. Recruiters spend months identifying and coaxing potential informants, all the while evading agents from the North and the Chinese police bent on stopping their work. The North Koreans face even greater danger; exposure could lead to imprisonment — or death.

The result has been a news free-for-all, a jumble of sometimes confirmed but often contradictory reports. Some have been important; the Web sites were the first to report the outrage among North Koreans over a drastic currency revaluation late last year. Other articles have been more prosaic, covering topics like whether North Koreans keep pets and their complaints about the price of rice.

But the fact that such news is leaking out at all is something of a revolution for a brutally efficient gulag state that has forcibly cloistered its people for decades even as other closed societies have reluctantly accepted at least some of the intrusions of a more wired world. “In an information vacuum like North Korea, any additional tidbits — even in the swamp of rumors — is helpful,” said Nicholas Eberstadt, a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute who has chronicled the country’s economic and population woes for decades.

“You didn’t used to be able to get that kind of information,” he said of the reports on the currency crisis. “It was fascinating to see the pushback from the lower levels” of North Korean society.

Taken together, the now-steady leak of “heard-in-Korea” news is factoring into ever swirling intelligence debates about whether there is a possibility of government collapse, something every American president since Harry S. Truman has wished for, and none have witnessed.

The news the informants are spiriting out is not likely to answer the questions about the North’s nuclear program or leadership succession that the United States cares about most. There is no evidence so far that these new sources have any access, or particular insight, into the North Korean leadership or military elite.

The informers themselves remain of limited use to American and South Korean spymasters, in part because the North has no broad cellphone network, making it easier for the authorities to eavesdrop on calls and harder for handlers to direct operatives in real time.

As one senior American intelligence official put it, “You’re not going to find the North Korean uranium project from these guys.” So the traditional methods of intelligence collection — using satellite imagery, phone and computer intercepts, and informants and agents of South Korea’s intelligence service — remain the main sources of information.

Still, the Web sites appear to have inflicted damage. North Korea’s spy agencies, which almost never admit to weaknesses, recently warned that South Korea’s “plot to overthrow our system, employing all manners and means of spying, is spreading from the periphery of our territory and deeply inland.” They vowed retaliation, especially against “human trash,” an apparent reference to the North Koreans who have betrayed their leaders’ code of silence out of principle or for pay to supplement their usually meager wages.

The informers’ networks are part of broader changes in intelligence gathering rooted in the North’s weaknesses. The first breakthrough came in the 1990s, when famine stoked by a breakdown in the socialist rationing system drove defectors out of the country and into the arms of South Korean and American intelligence agencies. The famine also led North Korea to allow traders to cross the border into China to bring home food, leaving them vulnerable to foreign agents, the news media and, most recently, the defectors and activists intent on forcing change in the North.

The first of their Web sites opened five years ago; there are now five. At least three of the sites receive some financing from the United States Congress through the National Endowment for Democracy.

The Web reports have been especially eye-opening for South Koreans, providing a rare glimpse of the aptly named Hermit Kingdom untainted by their own government’s biases, whether the anti-Communists who present the North in the worst light or liberals who gloss over bad news for fear of jeopardizing chances at détente.

“I take pride in my work,” said Mun Seong-hwi, a defector turned Web journalist with the site Daily NK, who works with the informers and uses an alias to protect relatives he left behind. “I help the outside world see North Korea as it is.”

Even in the days of the Iron Curtain, North Korea was one of the world’s most closed societies. There were few Western embassies where spies could pose as diplomats. And with citizens deputized to watch one another for suspicious activities, strangers could not escape notice for long.

Of the 8,400 agents South Korea sent over the border between the end of the Korean War in 1953 and 1994, just 2,200, or about 1 in 4, made it home. Some defected, according to former agents, but many were killed.

As recently as 2008, when the North’s leader, Kim Jong-il, reportedly had a stroke, it was long-distance sleuthing rather than on-the-ground spying that broke the news. South Korean agents intercepted a government e-mail message containing his brain scans, according to the Monthly Chosun magazine.

The Web sites have not uncovered news that delicate, although the implications of their reports on the currency crisis, later confirmed by South Korean government officials, were far-reaching. They said that the North was requiring people to exchange old banknotes for new ones at a rate of 100 to 1, as well as limiting the amount of old money that could be swapped. That suggested that officials in the North were cracking down on the few glimmers of private enterprise that they had tolerated, dashing hopes that the country might follow China’s lead of at least opening its economy anytime soon.

Still, the Web sites are plagued with challenges. The cellphones work on China’s cellular networks, so they operate only within several miles of the Chinese border. Because North Koreans cannot travel freely in their country, the Web sites are forced to depend mostly on people who live near China.

Beyond that, Ha Tae-keung, who runs one of the Web sites, says that some sources are prone to exaggerate, possibly in the hopes of earning the bonuses he offers for scoops. He and other Web site operators, meanwhile, are vulnerable to “information brokers” in the North who sell fake news.

But Mr. Ha said that the quality of the information was improving as Web sites hired more defectors who left government jobs and remained in touch with former colleagues, often by cellphone. “These officials provide news because they feel uncertain about the future of their regime and want to have a link with the outside world,” he said, “or because of their friendship with the defectors working for us, or because of money.”

While such contacts would have been unimaginable 20 years ago, one thing has not changed: the danger.

Mr. Mun of Daily NK says his informers engage in a constant game of cat and mouse with the authorities. The North Korean government can monitor cellphone calls, but tracing them is harder, so the police rove the countryside in jeeps equipped with tracking devices.

The informants call him once a week; they never give their names, and they hide the phones far from their homes.

Despite those precautions, they are sometimes caught. This month, Mr. Ha’s Web site reported that an arms factory worker was found with a cellphone and confessed to feeding information to South Korea. A source said the informant was publicly executed by firing squad.

David E. Sanger contributed reporting from Washington.

An earlier version of this article was published in print in the International Herald Tribune on Jan. 25, 2010, and was published on nytimes.com on Jan. 24, 2010.

March 25, 2010

North Korean leader has chronic kidney failure: expert

Filed under: Asia,East Asia,North Korea — mungurk @ 11:03

source

North Korean leader has chronic kidney failure: expert
Posted: 24 March 2010 1433 hrs

Photos 1 of 1


North Korean leader Kim Jong Il (centre) as shown in undated photo released by Korean Central News Agency via Korea News Service in Tokyo on March 11, 2010.


SEOUL : North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il is suffering from kidney failure which requires dialysis and also has partial paralysis following a 2008 stroke, the head of a state research institute said Wednesday.

Nam Sung-Wook, director of the Institute for National Security Strategy, said the paleness of Kim’s fingernails indicates the 68-year-old leader has chronic kidney disease.

The institute has links to South Korea’s National Intelligence Service. Nam’s remarks, in a speech at a Seoul forum, were quoted by Yonhap news agency and were confirmed by the organisers of the event.

“Chairman Kim Jong-Il is suffering from diabetes and high blood pressure and we believe he is undergoing kidney dialysis every two weeks,” Nam said.

“(The pale colour of) his nails indicates he has chronic kidney failure.”

Nam showed photographs of Kim to illustrate his point. The North’s official Korean Central News Agency frequently releases colour photos of the leader.

Kim weighed 86 kilogrammes before his stroke in August 2008, according to Nam. In January last year he went on a three-month diet and slimmed down to 70-73 kg.

“However, it’s not an easy task for him to restore his full health because of his age,” Nam said.

“At his most recent public appearance on the occasion of a public rally in (the northeastern city of) Hamhung on March 7, he was slamming down his right palm on his unmoving left palm.”

The leader of the secretive nuclear-armed communist state has not publicly appointed an eventual successor, but the regime is reportedly promoting the virtues of his third son Jong-Un.

“But as it would be like having two suns in the sky and there was controversy over Jong-Un’s intervention in personnel appointments, such a movement has subsided somewhat since June last year,” Nam said.

Kim’s regime is under pressure to return to six-nation nuclear disarmament talks which it abandoned last April. But Nam foresaw no early progress.

“The date for the next round of the six-party talks is unlikely to be fixed before June, as efforts to resume the talks have not yet led to any concrete results,” he said.

- AFP/ir

March 18, 2010

Kim Jong Il Expected to visit China Later in March

Filed under: Asia,China,East Asia,North Korea — mungurk @ 10:35

source

(LEAD) N. Korean leader likely to visit China later this month: source

BEIJING, March 17 (Yonhap) — North Korean leader Kim Jong-il is likely to visit China later this month, a diplomatic source said Wednesday, a trip that could boost the prospect of resuming international talks on ending Pyongyang’s nuclear programs.

“Considering the schedules of top Chinese leaders, there is a high possibility of Chairman Kim visiting China sometime between March 25-30,” a source said on condition of anonymity, referring to Kim’s official title, chairman of the National Defense Commission.

A senior South Korean politician, who wants to visit China late this month for a meeting with Chinese President Hu Jintao, is expected to put the plan off, possibly because of Kim’s trip, the source said. When the North’s leader has visited China in the past, Beijing made sure that the schedule of its top leader did not overlap with other schedules.

In particular, top Chinese Communist Party official Wang Jiarui does not have any plan to travel overseas for the rest of this month. Wang, who met with the North’s leader during a trip to Pyongyang last month, is expected to take care of protocol if Kim visits Beijing.

China’s Vice President Xi Jinping, who will begin a trip to Russia, Belarus, Finland and Sweden on Saturday, is scheduled to return home late this month, probably for a meeting with the North’s leader.

Foreign dignitaries visiting China this month include Afghanistan’s president from March 23-25, New Zealand’s foreign minister from March 23-25 and Malta’s deputy prime minister from March 23-26.

If realized, Kim’s trip is expected to raise the prospects of reopening six-nation nuclear talks. Analysts have said that such a visit could be a strong sign that the North is ready to return to the negotiating table, possibly in exchange for badly needed economic aid from the neighboring ally.

The North’s return to the talks would also lift China’s diplomatic profile as host of the negotiations.

Kim rarely travels aboard, and there have been rumors that he fears flying. Neighboring China and Russia, accessible by Kim’s luxurious armored train, have been his only foreign destinations in many years.

Kim’s previous visits to China were made in 2000, 2001, 2004 and 2006.

(END)

December 16, 2009

Plane seized by Thais linked to alleged smugglers

Filed under: Asia,East Asia,Military,North Korea,South East Asia,Thailand — mungurk @ 09:14

source

Dec 15, 10:09 AM EST

By GRANT PECK
Associated Press Writer

BANGKOK (AP) — A weapons-laden cargo plane impounded in Bangkok has links to at least two men accused of global arms trafficking, including one fighting extradition to the U.S. from Thailand, an analyst said Tuesday.

The five-man crew of the aircraft that arrived from North Korea – four from Kazakhstan and one from Belarus – have been charged with illegal arms possession and face up to 10 years in prison.

The men were being held at Bangkok’s high-security Klong Prem Central Prison, the current home to suspected Russian arms dealer Viktor Bout, once dubbed the “Merchant of Death” for allegedly supplying weapons to dictators and warlords around the world.

Thai officials impounded the Ilyushin Il-76 transport plane when it landed in Bangkok on Saturday to refuel, and discovered what they said was 35 tons of explosives, rocket-propelled grenades, components for surface-to-air missiles and other armaments – exported in defiance of a U.N. embargo against North Korea.

Hugh Griffiths, a researcher at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, told The Associated Press the aircraft was previously registered under a company named Beibars, which has been linked to Serbian arms trafficker Tomislav Damnjanovic.

In the past, it has also been registered with three companies identified by the U.S. Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control as firms controlled by Bout. The U.S. is trying to extradite Bout, who was arrested in March 2008 during a U.S.-led sting operation and subsequently indicted on four terrorism charges in New York.

Researchers said the arms were likely destined for African rebel groups or a rogue regime such as Myanmar. The aircraft’s documentation had falsely described its cargo as oil-drilling equipment, and declared it was bound for Sri Lanka. Thai officials are skeptical that that was the true destination.

Col. Supisarn Bhakdinarinath, head of the Thai police inspection team, estimated the value of the weapons at about 500-600 million baht ($15 million-18 million).

Supisarn said more serious charges, possibly carrying the death penalty, would be added because the haul included explosives.

Prison director Sopon Thititam-pruek said the crew members were being held in separate cells, and guards were keeping a close eye on them to prevent them from meeting Bout.

Griffiths said the past owners of the aircraft have been documented by the United Nations as trafficking arms to Liberia, Sierra Leone, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Somalia, Sudan and Chad. He said the plane also was used to ship arms from the Balkans to Burundi in October.

“They are like flocks of migrating birds, these aircraft. They change from one company to another because the previous company has either been closed down for safety reasons or been identified in a U.N. trafficking report,” Griffiths said.

Siemon Wezeman, a Senior Fellow at SIPRI, said the types of arms found in the aircraft – used to add firepower against planes and tanks in the arsenal of government forces – were typical of those used by insurgent movements, and raised suspicion they could be headed for an African rebel group.

Possible buyers included Sudan, which might pass the weapons to rebel groups in Chad, and Eritrea, which might keep them for its own arsenal or pass them on to warring factions in Somalia, said Christian LeMiere, editor of the London-based Jane’s Intelligence Weekly.

The United States, which is particularly concerned about North Korea selling weapons and nuclear technology in the Middle East, reportedly tipped off Thai authorities to the illicit cargo. The U.S. Embassy has declined to comment.

Impoverished North Korea is believed to earn hundreds of millions of dollars every year by selling missiles, missile parts and other weapons to countries such as Iran, Syria and Myanmar.

U.N. sanctions were imposed in June after the reclusive communist regime conducted a nuclear test and test-fired missiles. They are aimed at derailing North Korea’s nuclear weapons program, but also ban North Korea’s selling of any conventional arms.

Associated Press writers Grant Peck and Jane Fugal in Bangkok, Malin Rising in Stockholm, Misha Dzhindzhikhashvili in Tbilisi, Vladimir Isachenkov in Moscow, and Foster Klug in Washington contributed to this report.

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