Signal, No Noise

September 1, 2010

Filed under: Asia,Military,Pakistan,South Central Asia,WMD — mungurk @ 10:44

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Aamir Qureshi / AFP-Getty ImagesThe nuclear scientist A.Q. Khan.

Dr. Abdul Qadeer Khan, widely considered the father of Pakistan’s nuclear bomb, has kept a low profile since his unprecedented 2004 television address accepting sole responsibility for providing nuclear know-how to Iran, Libya, and North Korea. President Pervez Musharraf pardoned Khan the following day, but after a period under house arrest, he remains closely watched by authorities. NEWSWEEK PAKISTAN’S Fasih Ahmed recently conducted an e-mail interview with the nuclear scientist hailed as a hero inside his own country and a threat to global security outside of it. Excerpts:

Pakistan’s nuclear assets are often described as the “Islamic bomb.” Given that no other Muslim-majority country has the bomb, is this description something that you agree with?

The term “Islamic Bomb” was mischievously coined by the Western world to frighten the rest of the world and to portray Muslims, and Pakistan, as terrorists who should not possess an atom bomb. The Western world is united in Muslim-bashing and ridiculing Islam and its golden values.

The U.N. has slapped sanctions on Iran—ostensibly as punishment for the Islamic country’s pursuit of nuclear weapons. How do you see global geopolitics shifting if Iran were to acquire nuclear weapons?

In Iran the same mischievous propaganda is at work to befool the rather ignorant—or less knowledgeable—public that it poses a threat and is a fanatic, terrorist country. Have we already forgotten that, despite the repeated statements of no WMD in Iraq that were made by [former U.N. weapons inspector] Hans Blix after IAEA [International Atomic Energy Agency] inspectors made regular visits to that country, Bush and Blair still attacked Iraq? In this process they killed thousands of people, destroyed an ancient civilization, occupied the country, and put stooges in place to play their part in the killing of their own people. Iran, as everyone knows, is a member of the NPT [Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty] regime, that it is open to IAEA inspection of all its sites, to which it is adhering, and that it cannot produce nuclear weapons material or nuclear weapons. This is yet another example of Western hypocrisy.

Most here take pride in the fact that Pakistan is a nuclear state and believe this has served as a deterrent to conventional war with India.

Yes, I fully agree. Our nuclear program has ensured our survival, our security, and our sovereignty … I am proud to have contributed to it together with my patriotic and able colleagues.

Former ISI chief Javed Ashraf Qazi recently told Pakistan’s Dawn News TV channel that CIA agents were caught in 1994–95 trying to buy information on Pakistan’s nuclear program. The refrain that Pakistan’s nuclear weapons are unsafe and can fall into the hands of radical Islamic organizations is also often played up in the Western press. How secure is the nuclear arsenal?

Nobody ever penetrated Kahuta [the site of Pakistan’s main nuclear facility], nor could they do so. The Americans, contrary to their tall claims, were totally in the dark about the status of our program. Majors—or even generals, for that matter—had no access to sensitive and classified information … [Kahuta] or PAEC [Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission] were never a department store where one could go and pick up a bomb! The American and British intelligence agencies tried to bribe and buy two of our scientists, who refused all sorts of incentives and reported the matter to me.

Can nuclear weapons fall into the wrong hands?

This is again a Western myth and one of their phobias. A nuclear weapon—good or dirty—is a highly complicated and sophisticated device. A large number of parts are needed, and expertise is required to assemble such a device. Even scientists and engineers without the relevant experience are not able to do this, let alone to talk of illiterate, untrained terrorists.

We have examples of countries, like South Africa and, to an extent, Libya, that decided to give up on their nuclear ambitions. How realistic is the possibility of a world with no nukes?

It is very convenient to give South Africa and Libya as examples of self-deweaponization. However, let us look at the backgrounds first. In South Africa the “whites” destroyed their nuclear weapons before handing over power to the “blacks.” They could not accept the fact that “black” people should—or could—possess them. The Libyans panicked after the West attacked Iraq and eliminated Saddam Hussein by falsely accusing that country of possessing nuclear weapons.

The U.S. was aware of Pakistan’s nuclear program but turned a blind eye to it during the original Afghan jihad. As soon as the Soviets were defeated, the U.S. Congress barred American military aid to Pakistan. Has the world made an unfair distinction between Pakistan’s and India’s pursuit of a nuclear program?

The Afghan War was a blessing for our nuclear program. It was not that the Western countries actively supported it but that they were too scared and occupied with the Russian invasion of Afghanistan and its future consequences to actively oppose it. Neither the Americans nor the British had a clue about the status of our program until 1990. After the Afghan War they slapped sanctions on us to extract concessions from [fomer Pakistani president] Benazir Bhutto’s government, but [former president] Ghulam Ishaq Khan and [former Army chief] Gen. Aslam Beg frustrated their nefarious designs.

There have been reports that the American Joint Special Operations Command wanted to assassinate you. How safe do you feel?

It is all pure humbug. Nobody ever tried to assassinate me. I traveled all over the world at a time when everyone knew that I was the architect of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons program. The fact is that Allah Almighty had not yet fixed the time and place for my demise. I never was, and never will be, afraid of so-called threats. When our predetermined time comes, Hazrat Izrael [the angel of death] will find us, no matter where we are hiding.

Have the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq made the world safer?

No, the world is not a safer place. Nationalists—call them fundamentalists or extremists if you like—have obtained a mobilization point with [the wars], have united, and are determined to negate the plans and designs of the Western countries.

The CIA chief, Leon Panetta, said earlier this year that Pakistan is now the headquarters of Al Qaeda. British leaders have declared Pakistan the exporter of global terrorism. Is this accurate, and, if so, what can Pakistan do to turn the tide?

The CIA chief—like his bosses and those before him—is a liar. There is no headquarters of Al Qaeda in Pakistan. Yes, Pakistan has become very unsafe due to foreign troops in Afghanistan. Our cohesion has been shattered. The spineless political leaders have turned our country—a nuclear and missile power with [180] million people—into a beggar state, a third-rate country. If there had been any pride left in our leaders, they would have responded appropriately and nobody would have dared to say such things in the first place.

August 30, 2010

N. Korea Vows to Use Nuclear Weapons If Attacked

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AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
Published: 28 Aug 2010 17:02

HAVANA – North Korea’s ambassador to Cuba said Aug. 28 that, if attacked, his country would respond with nuclear weapons and engage in a “sacred war,” Cuban state media reported.

Kwon Sung Chol, quoted by the Prensa Latina government agency, spoke at an event late Aug. 27 marking 50 years of diplomatic relations between Cuba and North Korea.

If North Korea is attacked by U.S. and South Korean forces, “we will respond with a sacred war based on the strength of our nuclear deterrent forces,” Kwon said.

“Our government will make an effort towards the denuclearization of the peninsula and the establishment of a system of lasting peace based on the principle of the reunification of both Koreas,” Kwon said, according to Prensa Latina.

North Korea on July 24 threatened a “powerful nuclear deterrence” in response to joint U.S.-South Korean naval exercises then taking place.

North Korea was prepared for a “retaliatory sacred war,” North Korea’s National Defense Commission (NDC) said in a statement carried then by the official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA).

August 22, 2010

Iran president unveils drone bomber

Filed under: Iran,Middle East,Military,WMD — mungurk @ 22:35

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Iran president unveils drone bomber

(UKPA) – 2 hours ago

President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has unveiled Iran’s first domestically-built unmanned bomber aircraft, calling it an “ambassador of death” to the country’s enemies.

The 4m-long drone aircraft can carry up to four cruise missiles and will have a range of 620 miles, according to a state TV report – but not far enough to reach arch-enemy Israel.

“The jet, as well as being an ambassador of death for the enemies of humanity, has a main message of peace and friendship,” Mr Ahmadinejad said at the inauguration ceremony in Tehran.

The goal of the aircraft, named Karrar or striker, was to keep the enemy paralysed in its bases, he said, adding that the aircraft was for deterrence and defensive purposes.

The president championed the country’s military self-sufficiency programme and said it would continue “until the enemies of humanity lose hope of ever attacking the Iranian nation”.

Iran launched an arms development programme during its 1980-88 war with Iraq to compensate for a US weapons embargo and now produces its own tanks, armoured personnel carries, missiles and even a fighter plane.

It frequently makes announcements about new advances in military technology that cannot be independently verified.

State TV later showed video footage of the plane taking off from a launching pad and reported that the craft travelled at speeds of 560mph and could alternatively be armed with two 250lb bombs or a 450lb guided bomb.

Iran has been producing its own light, unmanned surveillance aircraft since the late 1980s.

The ceremony came a day after Iran began to fuel its first nuclear power reactor, with the help of Russia, amid international concerns over the possibility of a military dimension to its nuclear programme. Iran insists it is only interested in generating electricity.

June 12, 2010

US presses China to rein in N.Korea

Filed under: Asia,China,East Asia,Military,North Korea,South Korea,WMD — mungurk @ 23:07

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US presses China to rein in N.Korea

By Shaun Tandon (AFP) – 2 days ago

WASHINGTON — The United States is pressing China to rein in North Korea, voicing “dismay” that the Asian power has not put more pressure on its ally as tensions build over the sinking of a South Korean warship.

China has offered condolences over the March sinking of the Cheonan but has not placed blame on North Korea, which has warned of “serious” consequences if the issue is brought before the United Nations Security Council.

Admiral Mike Mullen, the top US uniformed military officer, said late Wednesday that China needed to take a greater role after the purported torpedo attack, which claimed 46 lives in one of the deadliest incidents since the Korean War.

“I’ve been encouraged by public statements made recently by Chinese leadership as to the seriousness of this incident and the need for accountability and yet dismayed by a fairly tepid response to calls by the international community for support,” Mullen said.

Mullen, speaking at a dinner of the Asia Society, indicated that the United States would soon go ahead with military exercises with South Korea which were set for early June but delayed to give a chance for diplomacy with North Korea.

“We in the United States military stand firmly by our allies in the Republic of Korea and will move forward, in keeping with international agreements, to demonstrate that solidarity in coming weeks,” Mullen said.

“I think it’s of no surprise to anyone that we are planning maritime exercises to sharpen skills and strengthen collective defenses.”

South Korea has asked the Security Council to respond to the ship’s sinking and said Wednesday that investigators would brief the body’s 15 members on the probe at the request of council president Mexico.

Seoul’s Vice Foreign Minister Chun Yung-Woo returned Wednesday from a trip to lobby China but said that differences remained.

“We agreed to keep working toward reaching acceptable solutions, based on our strategic cooperative partnership,” Chun said.

North Korea’s UN representative wrote a letter to the council urging it not to be swayed by US “lies” as it was before the 2003 invasion of Iraq, according to state media.

The letter warned that if the warship probe was put on the council’s agenda, “no one would dare imagine how serious its consequences would be with regard to the peace and security on the Korean peninsula.”

Experts have speculated widely on North Korea’s motivations for the sinking, with some believing that the communist state is trying to show its mettle as part of the succession to leader Kim Jong-Il.

China’s relations are not always warm with North Korea, with Beijing saying Tuesday it protested after border guards from its neighbor shot dead three Chinese citizens.

But analysts believe that China’s main goal is stability as it fears the prospect of North Korean refugees flooding over the border or a unified Korea with US troops right on its border.

President Barack Obama’s administration has sought broader cooperation with China. But relations between the two militaries have remained uneasy, with Beijing declining Defense Secretary Robert Gates’s requests to visit.

Gates had a tense exchange on Saturday with a Chinese general at a security conference in Singapore.

Major General Zhu Chenghu asked Gates to explain what he called a contradiction between the US condemnation of North Korea and a more cautious US reaction to a deadly raid by Israel against a Gaza-bound aid ship.

“The Chinese military is the most provincial, and I would say the most xenophobic, element of the Chinese elite,” Jeffrey Bader, Obama’s top aide on Asia, told a forum this week.

China in January cut off military relations after the United States in January unveiled a 6.4-billion-dollar arms package to Taiwan, which Beijing claims as part of Chinese territory.

Copyright © 2010 AFP. All rights reserved.

June 4, 2010

Burma Takes Steps Toward Nuclear Weapons

Filed under: Asia,Military,Myanmar/Burma,South Central Asia,WMD — mungurk @ 10:16

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Report says Burma is taking steps toward nuclear weapons program

Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, June 4, 2010

The smuggled evidence shows Burma’s military rulers taking concrete steps toward obtaining atomic weapons, according to an analysis co-written by an independent nuclear expert. But it also points to enormous gaps in Burmese technical know-how and suggests that the country is many years from developing an actual bomb.

The analysis, commissioned by the dissident groupDemocratic Voice of Burma, concludes with “high confidence” that Burma is seeking nuclear technology, and adds: “This technology is only for nuclear weapons and not for civilian use or nuclear power.”

“The intent is clear, and that is a very disturbing matter for international agreements,” said the report, co-authored by Robert E. Kelley, a retired senior U.N. nuclear inspector. Officials for the dissident group provided copies of the analysis to the broadcaster al-Jazeera, The Washington Post and a few other news outlets.

Hours before the report’s release, Sen. James Webb (D-Va.) announced that he was canceling a trip to Burma, also known as Myanmar, to await the details. “It is unclear whether these allegations have substantive merit,” Webb, who chairs a Senate Foreign Relations panel on East Asia, said in a statement released by his office. “[But] until there is further clarification on these matters, I believe it would be unwise and potentially counterproductive for me to visit Burma.”

There have been numerous allegations in the past about secret nuclear activity by Burma’s military rulers, accounts based largely on ambiguous satellite images and uncorroborated stories by defectors. But the new analysis is based on documents and hundreds of photos smuggled out of the country by Sai Thein Win, a Burmese major who says he visited key installations and attended meetings at which the new technology was demonstrated.

The trove of insider material was reviewed by Kelley, a U.S. citizen who served at two of the Energy Department’s nuclear laboratories before becoming a senior inspector for the International Atomic Energy Agency. Kelley co-wrote the opposition group’s report with Democratic Voice of Burma researcher Ali Fowle.

Among the images provided by the major are technical drawings of a device known as a bomb-reduction vessel, which is chiefly used in the making of uranium metal for fuel rods and nuclear-weapons components. The defector also released a document purporting to show a Burmese government official ordering production of the device, as well as photos of the finished vessel.

Other photographs show Burmese military officials and civilians posing beside a device known as a vacuum glove box, which also is used in the production of uranium metal. The defector describes ongoing efforts on various phases of a nuclear-weapons program, from uranium mining to work on advanced lasers used in uranium enrichment. Some of the machinery used in the Burmese program appears to have been of Western origin.

The report notes that the Burmese scientists appear to be struggling to master the technology and that some processes, such as laser enrichment, likely far exceed the capabilities of the impoverished, isolated country.

“Photographs could be faked,” it says, “but there are so many and they are so consistent with other information and within themselves that they lead to a high degree of confidence that Burma is pursuing nuclear technology.”

A Washington-based nuclear weapons analyst who reviewed the report said the conclusions about Burma’s nuclear intentions appeared credible. “It’s just too easy to hide a program like this,” said Joshua H. Pollack, a consultant to the U.S. government.

April 5, 2010

Nuclear Threat From Mexico

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Detonating a nuclear weapon in or over Juarez, Mexico is the same thing as detonating one in El Paso, Texas: The difference is it may be a little easier to effect in Juarez. From the heart of downtown El Paso to downtown Juarez is just a very short distance. Or a bomb on the international bridge dividing the two countries empties into Avenida Juárez in downtown Juarez, on the south and El Paso downtown to the north could do the job and would be easy for any terrorist to pull off. Nowhere else on the planet are two major cities of two different nations so closely tied together and vulnerable — or so easy to visit from either side day or night.

One nuclear weapon placed in Juarez Mexico could kill up-wards of two million people almost half of them Americans living in both El Paso and Juarez.

Just a historical reminder: The atomic bomb named “Little Boy” was dropped on Hiroshima by the Enola Gay, a Boeing B-29 bomber, at 8:15 in the morning of August 6, 1945 – 62 years ago.

Of growing concern to some U. S. officials is the way the terrorists south of the border are taking advantage of the lack of sophistication on the Mexicans part for their inability and unwillingness to protect their own borders from terrorist infiltration and are using the low Mexican immigration standards and the U. S. open border to slip into Mexico or the U. S. with a nuclear weapon or dirty bomb.

Former CIA Director R. James Woolsey told NewsMax in an exclusive interview that terrorists could strike the American homeland — possibly with a weapon of mass destruction.

A terrorist strike with a nuclear, dirty bomb or with biological weapons was “a real possibility. ” Woolsey’s comments echo those of FBI Director Robert Mueller, who told NewsMax  that al-Qaeda’s paramount goal is clear: to detonate a nuclear device that would kill hundreds of thousands of Americans.

Tens of millions of radical Muslims, mostly of Arabic descent, live in Latin America.

International law-enforcement authorities combating terrorism have growing concerns about a major influx into Mexico of Arabic-speaking visitors carrying Cuban, Russian, Greece, Holland and other European passports.

Many of the passport holders could not even speak the language of their so-called mother land, according to a secret report given to the Mexican legislators.

Intelligence sources have been warning us that they have noticed a tendency among Islamic terrorists to operate in Mexico.  Mexico with a territory slightly bigger than Alaska and with geographic extremes that have proven perfect for hiding bombs, weapons, illegal aliens, and drugs is currently what’s going on south of our border.

According to the “INM” (Mex. Immigr. ) Just last week six adult male Iraqis were arrested in Tapachula, state of Chiapas, while attempting to reach the Distrito Federal of Mexico and to proceed to the United States from that point. In their preliminary declaration, the six said they entered through Central America, reached Guatemala and that there they purchased the false passports from Greece and Holland which they initially presented to Mexican officials when arrested. They also claimed they crossed the Suchiate River (bordering Mexico and Guatemala) on a raft.

 

The names on the phony passports were Hristov Eroslavov Dobromir, Mirian Sitkinas, Carlos Harden, Stevan Bergian, Vasileios Venetis and Vasilev Martinov Georgi.

Another two Iraqis with false Bulgarian passports were detected and detained at the airport in Monterrey, Nuevo Leon. Now, Mexican officials are reportedly investigating “a network that could be made up of Mexicans operating in Greece who is selling false Bulgarian passports for ten thousand dollars to European and Middle Eastern citizens. “  Last year 28 illegal’s from Iraq were detected at the airport in Monterrey alone (El Porvenir said there were 23, seventeen of them in a single event)

The latest two, “Wisam Gorgies”, 34 yr. old male, and “Rana Nazar Peyoz”, 26 yr. old female, flew from Madrid and said they obtained the false passports in Greece; their aim was to reach the United States.

The Mexican government is very concerned with the up-tick of known Mexican communist party members who are being converted to Islam this arises from recent immigrants who import new radical jihadi philosophies into their ranks. These people are also active in Islamic missionary work converting the poor and destitute with promises of a better life under Islam.

These terrorists are organized in active cells around the country of Mexico according to a Mexican General who wants to remain nameless. I have seen documents describing part of the drug-smuggling cartels cooperation with terrorists using their existing routes though Mexico to the states. Islamic terrorists are paying millions to the Mexicans to transport their drugs from Afghanistan, as well as weapons and people. These elaborate well defined drug routes run through a web of border crossings pointing also to the complex cooperation between various “smuggling cartels and the terrorists. ” These belong to jihadi organizations such as al-Qaeda, joining forces with local drug lords, developing and greasing their smuggling skids with money all the way to Mexico aiming ultimately to hit the U. S.

With the nature of lawlessness, graft, poverty and disorder in Mexico, enables operatives of such terrorist groups as al-Qaeda, Hezbollah, Islamic Jihad and Hamas to operate with impunity. These organizations have turned Mexico into a logistical attack base.

The growing danger is that the militant Islam terrorists have penetrated Mexico. Some of them have ties to smugglers operating in American states bordering Mexico, especially those with connections in Arizona, New Mexico, Texas and California.

Experienced anti-terror experts report the Mexican border is the Achilles heel of the Department of Homeland Security.

Islam is on the move in Mexico and throughout Latin America, making dramatic gains in converting the native population, increasing immigration, establishing businesses and charities and attracting attention from U. S. government officials who have asked their neighbors to the south to keep an eye on foreign Muslim groups.

Al-Qaeda and other allied organizations are expanding operations throughout Mexico, establishing both legitimate and criminal enterprises to help fund future attack operations.

According to U. S. Ambassador to Venezuela Charles Shapiro, almost every extremist terror group is now represented in Latin America.

Pentagon officials have confirmed human smuggling rings in Latin America are attempting to sneak al-Qaeda operatives into the U. S.

Anti-terrorism experts say extremist cells tied to Hezbollah, Islamic Jihad and al-Qaeda network are operating in Argentina, Ecuador, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Paraguay and Uruguay.

FBI Director Robert Mueller told a congressional panel that illegal aliens from countries with ties to al-Qaeda have crossed into the U. S. from Mexico using false identities.

Mueller said some of the aliens are people with Middle Eastern names who have adopted Hispanic last names before coming into the U. S.

“We are concerned, Homeland Security is concerned about special interest aliens entering the United States,” Mueller said.

The U. S. Bush administration officials have previously said al-Qaeda could try to infiltrate the United States through the Mexican border.

Al-Qaeda has become deeply involved in cocaine and heroine trafficking, arms and uranium smuggling, counterfeiting CDs and DVDs and money-laundering activities.

Cash laden Non-Mexicans often are more difficult to intercept because they typically pay high-end smugglers a large sum of money to efficiently assist them in setting up in Mexico or help them across the border, rather than traverse it on their own.

 

According to the WorldNetDaily many of America’s enemies have chosen Mexico as a target to locate and undermine security in the Americas and weaken America politically and strategically. America’s various adversaries have chosen Mexico as their infiltration route. And American politicians are opening the doors wide to our enemies with NAFTA and The Security and Prosperity Partnership of North America (SPP) programs.

  

Robert Grenier, who was head of the CIA’s counter-terrorism center, told a press conference in Mexico that the Muslim terrorist organizations see the illegal immigration and drug trafficking networks in the Latin American nations as the most effective way to move people and equipment into the US.

Grenier said that the Bush Administration fears both Hamas and Hizballah may already have sleeper cells operating in Mexico.

Hamas and Hizballah have both threatened in the past to extend their war against Israel to include the United States.

Source: U. S. Government, Mexican Government, Laguna Journal, WorldNetDaily & NewsMax.

March 25, 2010

USA and Russia to be sign nuclear deal in Prague

Filed under: Americas,Eastern Europe,Europe,Military,North America,Russia,USA,WMD — mungurk @ 10:29

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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
PRAGUE – The Associated Press

Prague announced Wednesday it will host the signing of a new U.S.-Russian treaty to reduce long-range nuclear weapons – the clearest sign yet that Washington and Moscow are close to completing a deal to replace the 1991 Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty.

For President Barack Obama, a ceremony in Prague would be a symbolic return to the city where he outlined his nuclear agenda in April and declared his commitment to “a world without nuclear weapons” in a sweeping speech before tens of thousands.

Czech Foreign Ministry spokesman Filip Kanda said negotiations on the treaty have not been completed yet but Prague agreed to host the signing by Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev when a deal was reached. The START treaty had expired in December. “As an ally, we have consulted with the U.S. side on an option for us to complete the signing when a deal is done,” Kanda said. “We’ve agreed,” he said.

In Washington, a senior Obama administration official said the White House has talked to both the Czech and Russian governments about a signing in Prague. The official, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitive negotiations, said a deal is still being finalized. “Prague is where the president delivered a speech outlining his arms control and nonproliferation vision last spring and where we always wanted to do a signing,” the U.S. official said.

The negotiations are still under way in Geneva. The treaty is likely to limit the number of deployed strategic warheads by the United States and Russia. Any agreement would need to be ratified by the legislatures of both countries and would still leave each with a large number of nuclear weapons, both deployed and stockpiled.

Both Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said last week that a deal was near – but not done. The expired START treaty, signed by Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev and President George H.W. Bush, required each country to cut its nuclear warheads by at least one-fourth, to about 6,000, and to implement procedures for verifying that each side was sticking to the agreement.

The two sides pledged to continue to respect the expired treaty’s limits on nuclear arms and allow inspectors to continue verifying that both sides were living up to the deal. Obama and Medvedev agreed in July to cut the number of nuclear warheads each possesses to between 1,500 and 1,675 within seven years as part of a broad new treaty.

January 18, 2010

Duck hunters spark nuclear weapons plant lockdown

Filed under: Americas,Military,North America,USA,WMD — mungurk @ 11:04

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Page last updated at 18:52 GMT, Friday, 15 January 2010

A pair of duck hunters triggered a security alert at a nuclear weapons assembly plant in Amarillo, Texas.

Officials put the plant into lockdown after getting reports of individuals in camouflage gear stalking across the road from the factory.

They turned out to be two plant employees who had decided to spend their day off hunting fowl.

The plant was briefly shut as a “precautionary measure”, a plant official said.

“They were just doing what people do around here,” said Carson County Sheriff Tam Terry.

“They just had a lot more company than they were planning on.”

The pair, who sparked the alert when spotted early in the morning carrying arms and dressed in camouflage gear, were later found in a nearby field setting up goose decoys.

No charges will be filed against the men who both had permission to hunt from the local landowner.

January 11, 2010

Iran can be bombed says General Petraeus

Filed under: Americas,Iran,Middle East,Military,North America,USA,WMD — mungurk @ 17:04

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By Alex Spillius in Washington
Published: 8:57PM GMT 10 Jan 2010

Gen David Petraeus, head of Central Command or Centcom, did not elaborate on the plans, but said the military has considered the impacts of any action taken there.

Asked about the vulnerability of Iran’s nuclear installations, he told CNN: “Well, they certainly can be bombed. The level of effect would vary with who it is that carries it out, what ordnance they have, and what capability they can bring to bear.”

He added: “It would be almost literally irresponsible if Centcom were not to have been thinking about the various ‘what ifs’ and to make plans for a whole variety of different contingencies.”

Iran maintains its nuclear programme is for peaceful purposes, but the United States and other Western nations fear Tehran wants to acquire nuclear weapons.

Israel has called Iran’s nuclear programme the major threat facing its nation. Gen Petraeus declined to comment about Israel’s military capabilities, according to CNN.

Iran had until the end of last year to accept a deal offered five permanent UN Security Council members – Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States, plus Germany.

It did not do so. Instead, Tehran gave the West until the end of January to accept its own proposal.

Petraeus said he thought there was still time for the nations to engage Iran in diplomacy, noting there is no deadline on the enactment of any US contingency plans.

But he added that “there’s a period of time, certainly, before all this might come to a head”.

December 15, 2009

Evidence of Iran’s nuclear arms expertise mounts

Filed under: Iran,Middle East,Military,WMD — mungurk @ 09:40

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Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Long denied access to foreign technology because of sanctions, Iran has nevertheless learned how to make virtually every bolt and switch in a nuclear weapon, according to assessments by U.N. nuclear officials in internal documents, as well as Western and Middle Eastern intelligence analysts and weapons experts.

Iran’s growing technical prowess has been highlighted by a secret memo, leaked to a British newspaper over the weekend, that purportedly shows Iranian scientists conducting tests on a neutron initiator, one of the final technical hurdles in making a nuclear warhead, weapons analysts said Monday.

There was no way to establish the authenticity or original source of the document, which is being assessed by officials at Western intelligence agencies and the U.N. nuclear watchdog. Even so, former intelligence officials and arms-control experts said that if it is a genuine Iranian government document, it is a worrisome indication of an ongoing, clandestine effort to acquire nuclear weapons capability. Iran has steadfastly denied seeking nuclear arms.

The accumulating evidence of Iran’s nuclear momentum emerges as Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton conceded Monday that the White House has little to show for nearly a year of diplomatic engagement with Iran over its nuclear ambitions. “I don’t think anyone can doubt that our outreach has produced very little in terms of any kind of a positive response from the Iranians,” Clinton told reporters.

The internal documents and expert analysis point to a growing Iranian mastery of disciplines including uranium metallurgy, heavy-water production and the high-precision explosives used to trigger a nuclear detonation. Although U.S. spy agencies have thought that Iran’s leaders halted research on nuclear warheads in 2003, European and Middle Eastern analysts point to evidence that Iran has continued to hone its skills, as recently as 2007.

“They’re slowly weaning themselves off a reliance on importing critical technologies, in favor of being able to manufacture critical components themselves,” said Rolf Mowatt-Larssen, a retired CIA officer and former Energy Department intelligence director. “Achieving an indigenous production capacity is right up there with mastering uranium enrichment.”

Iranian scientists must still rely on outsiders for certain components and materials, such as high-strength metals used in making advanced centrifuges and longer-range missiles. But the remaining technical gaps are shrinking, according to an internal memo drafted by top Iran analysts at the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N. nuclear watchdog. Excerpts from the never-published draft were leaked to a nonprofit group in October.

“Iran has sufficient information to be able to design and produce a workable implosion nuclear device,” the memo states.

Iran insists that it opposes nuclear weapons, and points out that the technologies that have raised suspicions in the West have peaceful uses. But Iranian officials do not conceal their pride in their ability to develop advanced technology in spite of U.N. sanctions. Ali Soltanieh, Iran’s representative to the IAEA in Vienna, said in an interview with The Washington Post this fall that as Iranian engineers conquer the nuclear sciences, they will “jump hundreds of meters up in a short time,” pulling even with their counterparts from the West.

“We should thank the Americans for sanctions, because they have united our country,” he said.

The newly leaked Iranian memo, first published by the Times of London, purports to show a four-year plan by Iran to develop and test a neutron initiator of a type that weapons experts say has no known civilian use. The document is neither signed nor dated, but the Times, citing unnamed foreign intelligence officials, said it was written in 2007, four years after U.S. intelligence officials think Iran halted research on nuclear warheads.

The creased, two-page document in Farsi script asserts that Iran’s capabilities in the field of neutron initiators already “are reasonably good.” It calls on scientific teams to build on previous secret research while also maintaining a high degree of security.

While the document makes no mention of nuclear warheads, it describes work in highly specialized fields closely associated with atomic bombs, said David Albright, a former U.N. weapons inspector who reviewed the memo and other documents.

“They are eliminating bottlenecks in the process of creating a reliable nuclear warhead,” said Albright, president of the D.C.-based Institute for Science and International Security. “I have no evidence of an Iranian decision to build them. On the other hand, doing the kind of work described in this document is a far cry from the common belief that Iran stopped work on nuclear weapons in 2003 and has not restarted.”

A U.S. intelligence official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, acknowledged there have been “serious concerns for some time about where Iran may be headed with its nuclear activities.”

The leaked memo follows the disclosure in September that Iran had secretly built a small uranium plant in a mountain north of the ancient holy city of Qom.

In late October, IAEA inspectors who visited Iran for a first look at the secret plant also made a surprise discovery of 600 barrels of heavy water, a toxic liquid used in making plutonium, during a routine visit to one of Iran’s lesser-known nuclear facilities near the city of Isfahan.

A recent IAEA report called on Iran to “provide information on the origin” of the heavy water.

“It was a complete surprise,” said a European diplomat who agreed to talk about the internal debate on the condition of anonymity. “We assumed that the Iranians had purchased it from elsewhere, but no one really knew. No one believes they could have made it at the existing plant” — a small facility at Khonab that has been mostly idle since it opened three years ago.

In a closed-door session of the IAEA governing board on Thanksgiving, the head of one of the Northern European delegations asked the chief Iranian nuclear official, Ali Akbar Salehi, to explain how Iran had acquired such a quantity of heavy water.

“We made it,” Salehi reportedly shot back, according to two diplomats in the room.

Whether Iran’s ruling clerics have decided to make a bomb is unclear. In 2003, after Iran’s first uranium-enrichment plant was exposed by the National Council for Resistance in Iran, a dissident group, the country’s top leaders ordered their scientists to halt research on nuclear warheads.

That command, intercepted by Western spies, appears to have applied only to teams working on the technical challenges of building a warhead and fitting it to one of Iran’s longer-range missiles. The harder task of creating the uranium fuel for bomb continued and slowly accelerated; Iran now manufactures four types of centrifuges, machines that spin at supersonic speeds to create the uranium fuel used in both power plants and nuclear weapons.

There are signs suggesting to some intelligence analysts that bomb-building research resumed after 2005, the year Mahmoud Ahmadinejad assumed the Iranian presidency. In a case cited by German government officials, Iran in 2007 bought several highly specialized devices linked to nuclear weapons testing. One was a $40,000, Russian-made camera used to record high-speed events in a laboratory. In nuclear weapons research, such cameras help calibrate the accuracy of precision-timed explosions used to trigger a nuclear chain reaction.

High-speed cameras have other industrial uses. But according to an analysis by the Institute for Science and International Security, the model of camera bought by Iran was developed by a commercial offshoot of the All-Russia Research Institute of Experimental Physics, the premier nuclear weapons laboratory of the former Soviet Union. The spinoff company, Bifo, has co-authored research papers on explosive shock waves used in nuclear detonations.

Notably, Russian scientists with expertise in detonators have visited Iran at least as recently as 2003 to provide technical training and instructions on building triggering devices for nuclear bombs, according to Western and Middle Eastern intelligence analysts briefed on the visits.

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